1. How inputs become results
Enter average purchase price, total investment and target price. The calculator derives estimated holdings by dividing total investment by average purchase price; holdings are not a separate input. Estimated portfolio value is those holdings multiplied by target price. Cost basis is holdings multiplied by average purchase price, and estimated profit or loss is value minus cost basis. Return is profit or loss divided by cost basis, multiplied by 100. Fees, taxes and currency-conversion costs are not automatically included in these basic formulas.
Estimated valueHoldings × target price
Profit or lossEstimated value − (holdings × average purchase price)
Estimated returnProfit or loss ÷ cost basis × 100
2. A simple illustration
Suppose you hold 100,000 units of a fictional asset, bought at an average of $0.03, and test a target price of $0.05. Estimated value is $5,000, cost basis is $3,000 and profit before fees and taxes is $2,000. The estimated return is about 66.7%.
This does not mean the entire holding can be sold at $0.05. Order size, order-book depth, slippage, fees, foreign-exchange costs and taxes can all change the realized result.
3. Why market cap and FDV matter
Implied market cap is target price multiplied by the verified circulating supply. Fully diluted valuation (FDV) multiplies target price by verified total supply, adding tokens that are not yet circulating to the scenario.
For a fictional asset with one billion tokens circulating and 1.5 billion in total supply, a $0.05 target implies a $50 million market cap and a $75 million FDV. A wide gap is a prompt to examine how future supply might affect the current valuation.
Implied market capTarget price × circulating supply
Implied FDVTarget price × verified total supply
4. Projected rank is a relative reference
The calculator counts assets in its comparison set whose market cap is strictly greater than the implied market cap, then adds one. Ties may therefore be presented differently by another ranking provider. If the comparison depth is the top 250, the result is meaningful only within that sample.
The calculation also holds every other asset’s market cap constant. In reality, the wider market and competing assets will move while a target is approached. Projected rank is not a price forecast or an estimate of probability.
5. Why some outputs may be missing
If circulating supply, total supply, current market cap or ranking data cannot be verified, a result may be shown as “—”. Estimating an unknown supply would make a precise-looking but misleading result. Check the data-as-of time and compare saved or delayed data with the original source.
- Check the asset and supply data timestamp.
- Enter average purchase price, total investment and target price, then check the calculated holdings.
- Remember that basic profit excludes fees and taxes.
- Review implied market cap and FDV before focusing on unit price.
- Compare optimistic, base and conservative scenarios.
6. Supply and rank used by this calculator
This calculator uses verified total supply for FDV; it does not substitute maximum supply. Missing total supply means no FDV result. Rank excludes the selected asset itself, and an implied market cap below the sample’s lower boundary is shown as outside the comparison range. Recheck units and timestamps after changing currency. The calculation holds supply and comparison markets constant, so future minting, burning and other asset price changes are not included.
Open the target-price calculator · Data sources and related guides